Brest have won the last two head-to-head meetings by a 2-0 scoreline, and after winning three of their last five home matches, we think that the hosts will make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.