Despite enjoying an impressive campaign, Brest appear to have lost a degree of momentum in their Champions League bid, and while that may be down to a tough run of fixtures, they face another difficult test at the weekend against a Rennes side rejuvenated by an important victory last time out, and we back the hosts to make it consecutive three-point hauls on Sunday as a result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.09) 
