Despite failing to score in their last two Ligue 1 meetings with Brest, Lyon's seven-game undefeated run against this weekend's opponents should become eight in a potentially exciting game.
The goalless game at the Groupama last year was an anomaly, as eight of the last 10 matches between these sides have ended with both sides scoring. Thus, expect another high-scoring affair on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
-1.32) 
1.46) 
