SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Brest |
41.92% ( -1.32) | 25.49% ( -0.14) | 32.59% ( 1.46) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.43% ( 1.12) | 48.57% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.31% ( 1.01) | 70.69% ( -1.01) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( -0.16) | 23.04% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.14% ( -0.23) | 56.85% ( 0.23) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( 1.52) | 28.25% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( 1.88) | 63.95% ( -1.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.59% |
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