Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.