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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
BL

Montpellier
3 - 1
Brest

Nordin (6' pen.), Khazri (12'), Coulibaly (84')
Khazri (16'), Ferri (56'), Sagnan (62'), Toure (69'), Chennahi (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Martin (50')
Martin (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-2 Brest
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Brest

Despite being in the bottom half, Brest's start to the Ligue 1 season has been more than respectable considering they are also juggling European commitments, and they will fancy their chances of a fourth straight away win here. All four of Montpellier's points have come at home this season, but the humbling they received from Toulouse in their last outing suggests familiar surroundings may do little to save them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
28.97% (0.881 0.88) 24.22% (0.257 0.26) 46.81% (-1.137 -1.14)
Both teams to score 57.65% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (-0.602 -0.6)44.58% (0.60400000000001 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-0.585 -0.59)66.95% (0.587 0.59)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (0.31599999999999 0.32)28.67% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (0.393 0.39)64.49% (-0.392 -0.39)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (-0.69499999999999 -0.69)19.18% (0.697 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (-1.164 -1.16)50.85% (1.167 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 28.97%
    Brest 46.81%
    Draw 24.22%
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.236 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 28.97%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-5 Marseille
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Montpellier
Saturday, September 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-2 Auxerre
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-2 Brest
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Nice
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Brest
Saturday, October 26 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, October 23 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Rennes
Saturday, October 19 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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