Playing on their home field might help Clermont keep the score a little more respectable for a while, but with their top attacking threat on international duty, plus the quality and scoring depth that Rennes possess, we expect to see Les Rouges et Noir eventually find a breakthrough and should that happen, the floodgates could open for them to score a couple more.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
