SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Clermont |
| 61.34% | 22.1% | 16.56% |
| Both teams to score 48.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% | 49.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% | 71.19% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% | 15.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.56% | 44.44% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.14% | 42.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.83% | 79.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% 2-0 @ 11.54% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.07% 4-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.57% 5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.14% Total : 61.33% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.1% | 0-1 @ 5.64% 1-2 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.66% Total : 16.56% |
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