Monaco have enjoyed plenty of success against Stade Rennais, beating them more than any other Ligue 1 opponent (48 times) in their history, and even if Golovin cannot go, their top attacking threats are starting to pick up their game, plus they are unbeaten in nine consecutive matches played at Stade Louis II.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
