Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.01%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.