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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade de Gerland
LL

Lyon
4 - 1
Lorient

Aouar (53'), Paqueta (65'), Guimaraes (71' pen., 77')
Guimaraes (18'), Aouar (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Monconduit (83')
Lemoine (69'), Hamel (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawLorient
61.86%19.94%18.2%
Both teams to score 58.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34%36.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18%58.81%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58%11.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.81%36.19%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52%33.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89%70.1%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 61.86%
    Lorient 18.2%
    Draw 19.94%
LyonDrawLorient
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9%
1-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 7.13%
3-0 @ 6.51%
3-2 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 3.87%
4-0 @ 3.53%
4-2 @ 2.12%
5-1 @ 1.68%
5-0 @ 1.53%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 61.86%
1-1 @ 9.08%
2-2 @ 5.39%
0-0 @ 3.82%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.94%
1-2 @ 4.97%
0-1 @ 4.18%
0-2 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 18.2%

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