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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
BL

Lens
2 - 1
Brest

Kalimuendo (11'), Sotoca (34' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Charbonnier (90+4' pen.)
Pierre-Gabriel (13'), Duverne (32')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawBrest
47.81%25.9%26.29%
Both teams to score 50.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7%53.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15%74.85%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7%22.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24%55.76%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.71%35.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.95%72.05%
Score Analysis
    Lens 47.81%
    Brest 26.29%
    Draw 25.9%
LensDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 8.86%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 47.81%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 7.87%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.2%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 26.29%

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