Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Nice had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Nice win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
