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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 19, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
L

Nice
1 - 4
Lyon

Gouiri (44')
Thuram (57')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Depay (32' pen.), Kadewere (39'), Toko Ekambi (63'), Aouar (73')
Cornet (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Nice had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Nice win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawLyon
21.17%22.72%56.11%
Both teams to score 54.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.97%45.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62%67.38%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67%35.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91%72.09%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13%15.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.93%45.07%
Score Analysis
    Nice 21.17%
    Lyon 56.11%
    Draw 22.71%
NiceDrawLyon
1-0 @ 5.83%
2-1 @ 5.59%
2-0 @ 3.03%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 21.17%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 5.61%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 10.31%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 9.5%
1-3 @ 6.07%
0-3 @ 5.83%
2-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.79%
0-4 @ 2.68%
2-4 @ 1.45%
1-5 @ 1.03%
0-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 56.11%

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