Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
44.52% (![]() | 25.24% (![]() | 30.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% (![]() | 48.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% (![]() | 70.54% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% (![]() | 21.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.09% (![]() | 54.91% (![]() |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% (![]() | 29.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.21% (![]() | 65.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.86% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 11.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.84% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.24% |
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