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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
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Montpellier
3 - 3
Marseille

Delort (1'), Laborde (47', 90+2')
Mollet (8'), Ferri (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Milik (43'), Gueye (45+1'), Perrin (71')
Thauvin (40'), Gonzalez (54')
Caleta-Car (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
39.56%26.73%33.7%
Both teams to score 51.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47%53.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96%75.04%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33%61.67%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02%29.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91%66.09%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 39.56%
    Marseille 33.7%
    Draw 26.73%
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.56%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 33.7%

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