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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 25, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
N

Lille
2 - 0
Nantes

Pallois (43' og.), Yilmaz (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Appiah (85'), Girotto (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawNantes
50.3%27.59%22.11%
Both teams to score 41.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.78%62.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.1%81.9%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97%25.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31%59.7%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.81%44.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.72%80.29%
Score Analysis
    Lille 50.3%
    Nantes 22.11%
    Draw 27.59%
LilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 15.32%
2-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.67%
3-0 @ 4.9%
3-1 @ 4%
4-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 50.3%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.03%
1-2 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.11%


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