Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.