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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
LL

Montpellier
1 - 1
Lorient

Mavididi (28')
Ferri (61'), Mendes (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grbic (9' pen.)
Lemoine (36'), Chalobah (63'), Gravillon (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
47.23%25.19%27.58%
Both teams to score 53.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36%49.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34%71.66%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96%21.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16%53.84%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69%32.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19%68.81%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 47.22%
    Lorient 27.58%
    Draw 25.19%
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 47.22%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.68%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.58%

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