Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
