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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 24, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
M

Lorient
0 - 1
Marseille


Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
31.36%27.34%41.29%
Both teams to score 48.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.56%56.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55%77.45%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95%33.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36%69.64%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1%26.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.78%62.22%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 31.36%
    Marseille 41.29%
    Draw 27.34%
LorientDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.36%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-2 @ 7.66%
1-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 41.29%


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