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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 22, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
LL

Lille
4 - 0
Lorient

Yazici (29', 51'), Araujo (57'), David (90')
Xeka (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wissa (32'), Mendes (45+2'), Lemoine (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawLorient
54.4%26.2%19.41%
Both teams to score 41.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.77%60.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.59%80.41%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67%22.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19%55.81%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.03%45.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.3%81.7%
Score Analysis
    Lille 54.39%
    Lorient 19.41%
    Draw 26.19%
LilleDrawLorient
1-0 @ 15.39%
2-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 4.48%
4-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 54.39%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 1.2%
2-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 19.41%


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