Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
