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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Jan 24, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
L

St Etienne
0 - 5
Lyon


Kolodziejczak (54'), Hamouma (74'), Bouanga (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kadewere (16', 68'), Marcelo (36', 59'), Bouanga (82' og.)
Guimaraes (23')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawLyon
20.85%23.87%55.29%
Both teams to score 50.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.78%50.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.82%72.18%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4%38.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65%75.35%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97%18.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.08%48.92%
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 20.85%
    Lyon 55.28%
    Draw 23.87%
Saint-EtienneDrawLyon
1-0 @ 6.63%
2-1 @ 5.4%
2-0 @ 3.15%
3-1 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.47%
3-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 20.85%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 11.92%
0-2 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-3 @ 5.83%
1-3 @ 5.55%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-4 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 2.38%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 55.28%

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