Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
