Defences should not be breached at will when these two shot-shy sides go head-to-head at the Groupama Stadium, as Metz cannot rely on long-range Camara screamers forever.
A fortnight's break could either be a help or a hindrance for Lyon, but with Alexandre Lacazette always capable of conjuring up some magic, we have faith in Grosso's side to belatedly get off the mark at the 10th attempt.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Metz had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
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