Whilst the hosts have had their moments going forward recently, their lack of defensive rigidity remains an issue. Metz may have slightly more to play for, but we are backing Les Gones to come out on top and keep their European hopes alive.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.08) 
