SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Lyon |
14.72% ( -0.06) | 19.72% ( -0.02) | 65.56% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.66% ( -0.04) | 42.34% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.26% ( -0.04) | 64.74% ( 0.04) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.82% ( -0.11) | 41.18% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.29% ( -0.09) | 77.71% ( 0.09) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.9% ( 0.01) | 12.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.35% ( 0.02) | 37.65% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 4.42% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 14.72% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.72% | 0-2 @ 11.11% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.82% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.94% 0-4 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 65.55% |
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