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ML
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Dec 6, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
L

Metz
1 - 3
Lyon

Boulaya (76')
Sarr (29'), Antonetti (55')
Boye (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Depay (17'), Toko Ekambi (47', 60')
Cherki (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawLyon
23.67%24.42%51.91%
Both teams to score 52.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.49%49.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.46%71.54%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52%35.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75%72.25%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95%19.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36%50.64%
Score Analysis
    Metz 23.67%
    Lyon 51.9%
    Draw 24.42%
MetzDrawLyon
1-0 @ 7%
2-1 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 3.63%
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.67%
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-2 @ 9.29%
1-3 @ 5.32%
0-3 @ 5.14%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 2.21%
0-4 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 51.9%

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