Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 10.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
