When you assess Lyon and Monaco's recent results, all the signs point towards an entertaining encounter at Groupama Stadium, so we expect the two European chasers to play out a high-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.