It goes without saying that both Montpellier and Le Havre will be determined to hit the ground running in 2022-23, but we expect the teams to share the spoils at the Stade de la Mosson as the visitors look to announce themselves to Ligue 1.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.41) 
0.06) 
