SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Reims had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Reims |
53.07% ( -0.37) | 22.26% ( 0.01) | 24.67% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.06% ( 0.33) | 38.94% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.74% ( 0.35) | 61.26% ( -0.35) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% ( -0.01) | 14.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57% ( -0.01) | 43% ( 0.01) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( 0.46) | 28.89% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( 0.57) | 64.77% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Reims |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 53.07% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.35% Total : 24.67% |
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