SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Reims had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Reims win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Lyon |
28.09% ( -0.33) | 23.79% ( 0.01) | 48.11% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( -0.26) | 43.2% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( -0.26) | 65.59% ( 0.26) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.36) | 28.58% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( -0.46) | 64.37% ( 0.46) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( 0.02) | 18.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.94% ( 0.04) | 49.06% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.09% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 48.11% |
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