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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
L

Brest
2 - 1
Lyon

Camara (8'), Ajorque (25')
Fernandes (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Veretout (45+2')
Tessmann (57'), Caleta-Car (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Brest
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, January 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-3 Lyon

Fatigue may set in very soon for a Stade Brestois side, who are not used to playing so many matches in such a short time span. Lyon, meanwhile, have been well-organised and decisive away from home throughout the campaign, and we expect they will make their opportunities count on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLyon
31.56% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 24.64% (0.004999999999999 0) 43.8% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.68% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)45.2% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)67.54% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)27.25% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)62.68% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brest 31.56%
    Lyon 43.8%
    Draw 24.64%
BrestDrawLyon
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.56%
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 7% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.67% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Brest
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: La Roche 0-1 Brest
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 4-1 Nantes
Sunday, December 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 PSV
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lille 3-1 Brest
Friday, December 6 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 30 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, January 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Lyon
Sunday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Frankfurt
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Angers 0-3 Lyon
Saturday, December 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Nice
Sunday, December 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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