SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.43%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 22.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
| 55.43% | 22.07% | 22.5% |
| Both teams to score 58.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% | 40.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.15% | 62.85% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.48% | 14.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.46% | 42.54% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% | 31.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.07% | 67.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 6.33% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 3.05% 4-0 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.11% Total : 55.43% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 5.89% 0-1 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.66% Total : 22.5% |
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