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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
PL

Troyes
1 - 2
PSG

El Hajjam (9')
Kone (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hakimi (19'), Icardi (21')
Kimpembe (33'), Hakimi (45'), Icardi (70'), Sarabia (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawParis Saint-Germain
19.71%22.01%58.28%
Both teams to score 54.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14%43.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76%66.24%
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87%36.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09%72.91%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25%14.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.02%42.98%
Score Analysis
    Troyes 19.71%
    Paris Saint-Germain 58.27%
    Draw 22.01%
TroyesDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 5.43%
2-1 @ 5.29%
2-0 @ 2.76%
3-1 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 19.71%
1-1 @ 10.38%
0-0 @ 5.33%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.01%
0-1 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.76%
1-3 @ 6.34%
0-3 @ 6.23%
2-3 @ 3.23%
1-4 @ 3.03%
0-4 @ 2.98%
2-4 @ 1.55%
1-5 @ 1.16%
0-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 58.27%

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