Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.