Marseille
2 - 3
Lens

Payet (33', 45+2' pen.)
Guendouzi (7'), Gueye (6')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Sotoca (9' pen.), Frankowski (27'), Said (71')
Said (90+2')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lens had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lens
50.12%	25.33%	24.55%

Both teams to score 50.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.62%

52.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.94%

74.06%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08%

20.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.36%

53.64%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.72%

36.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.94%

73.06%

Score Analysis

Marseille 50.12%

Lens 24.55%

Draw 25.32%

Marseille	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.5% Total : 50.12%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.69% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.86% Total : 24.55%