Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Marseille win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
