SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Marseille win it was 2-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 19.93% | 21.17% | 58.91% |
| Both teams to score 57.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.31% | 39.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.95% | 62.05% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% | 33.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.87% | 70.13% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.81% | 13.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.09% | 39.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.35% 1-0 @ 4.83% 2-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.98% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.93% | 1-1 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 5.42% 0-0 @ 4.42% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-3 @ 6.7% 0-3 @ 6.12% 2-3 @ 3.66% 1-4 @ 3.39% 0-4 @ 3.1% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.37% 0-5 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.91% |
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