Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
