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ML
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
R

Metz
2 - 1
Reims

Niane (18', 88')
Boulaya (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dia (43' pen.)
Abdelhamid (17'), Cassama (27'), Konan (48'), Cafaro (53')
Munetsi (50')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawReims
39.83%27.84%32.33%
Both teams to score 47.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.98%58.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29%78.71%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54%28.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78%64.23%
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82%33.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21%69.79%
Score Analysis
    Metz 39.82%
    Reims 32.33%
    Draw 27.83%
MetzDrawReims
1-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 39.82%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.44%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.41%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.33%


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