Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.44%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Metz had a probability of 7.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 3-0 (11.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.