Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
0.37) 
-0.11) 
