Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.23) 
