Over the past month or so, Le Havre have not been quite as sharp as we are used to seeing, so expect Dijon to take advantage of that early on, though we believe the league leaders will react well and eventually find a way to claim the title.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.
-0.15) 
0.16) 
