SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Le Havre |
59.99% ( -0.31) | 20.49% ( 0.03) | 19.52% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.87% ( 0.31) | 37.13% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.67% ( 0.33) | 59.33% ( -0.33) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.93% ( 0.01) | 12.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.41% ( 0.02) | 37.59% ( -0.01) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( 0.47) | 32.4% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( 0.52) | 68.91% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Le Havre |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.18% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.52% |
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