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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Mar 20, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
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Nice
3 - 0
Marseille

Thuram (34'), Gouiri (74'), Claude-Maurice (90+1')
Benitez (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caleta-Car (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Nice had a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Nice win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawMarseille
23.69%25.92%50.39%
Both teams to score 47.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69%55.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48%76.52%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32%38.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58%75.42%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78%22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7%55.3%
Score Analysis
    Nice 23.69%
    Marseille 50.39%
    Draw 25.91%
NiceDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.08%
2-1 @ 5.81%
2-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.39%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 23.69%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 12.88%
0-2 @ 9.76%
1-2 @ 9.27%
0-3 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 4.68%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-4 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 50.39%

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