SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Nice had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Nice win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
| 23.69% | 25.92% | 50.39% |
| Both teams to score 47.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.69% | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% | 76.52% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% | 38.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.58% | 75.42% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% | 22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.7% | 55.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% 2-1 @ 5.81% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.39% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.69% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 12.88% 0-2 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.39% |
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