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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 22, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
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Montpellier
4 - 3
Strasbourg

Mendes (8'), Delort (13', 31'), Laborde (68')
Mendes (25'), Congre (54'), Der Zakarian (58')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Lala (22' pen.), Diallo (26' pen.), Ajorque (45')
Aholou (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawStrasbourg
46.35%25.93%27.73%
Both teams to score 51.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.47%52.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.81%74.19%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36%22.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.73%56.27%
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29%33.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63%70.37%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 46.34%
    Strasbourg 27.73%
    Draw 25.92%
Montpellier HSCDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 46.34%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.63%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.3%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 27.73%


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