RB Leipzig
2 - 1
PSG

Nkunku (42'), Forsberg (57' pen.)
Upamecano (15'), Konate (25')

FT(HT: 1-1)

di Maria (6')
Kimpembe (19'), Gueye (37'), Kurzawa (68')
Gueye (69'), Kimpembe (90+5')

Build‑up

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League match between RB Leipzig and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.38%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
22.28%	19.35%	58.38%

Both teams to score 68.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.55%

27.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.94%

48.06%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69%

24.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.31%

58.69%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.47%

9.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.08%

31.93%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 22.28%

Paris Saint-Germain 58.38%

Draw 19.35%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.45% 1-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 3.02% 3-1 @ 2.57% 2-0 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.07% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.28%	1-1 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 6.4% 3-3 @ 2.37% 0-0 @ 2.32% Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.35%	1-2 @ 9.05% 1-3 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 6.4% 0-1 @ 5.45% 0-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 5.02% 1-4 @ 4.17% 2-4 @ 2.95% 0-4 @ 2.95% 1-5 @ 1.96% 3-4 @ 1.39% 2-5 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.39% Other @ 4.16% Total : 58.38%