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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 12, 2021 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
S

Montpellier
2 - 0
St Etienne

Mavididi (32'), Germain (62')
Wahi (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bouanga (55'), Neyou (69'), Nade (73'), Saban (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawSaint-Etienne
44.29%25.86%29.85%
Both teams to score 52.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85%51.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27%73%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99%23.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18%56.82%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6%31.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23%67.78%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 44.29%
    Saint-Etienne 29.85%
    Draw 25.85%
Montpellier HSCDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7.8%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.37%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 29.85%

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