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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Oct 4, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
L

Strasbourg
0 - 3
Lille


Djiku (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Celik (21'), Sanches (53'), Yilmaz (68')
Araujo (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLille
35.3%27.36%37.34%
Both teams to score 49.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18%55.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06%76.94%
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9%30.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77%66.23%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16%28.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3%64.7%
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 35.3%
    Lille 37.34%
    Draw 27.35%
StrasbourgDrawLille
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.3%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.68%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 10.79%
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.34%


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