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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Mar 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
PL

Lyon
2 - 4
PSG

Slimani (62'), Cornet (81')
Kadewere (40'), Diomande (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mbappe (15', 52'), Pereira (32'), di Maria (47')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
28.83%23.68%47.49%
Both teams to score 59.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.8%42.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39%64.61%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44%27.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92%63.08%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03%17.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.18%48.82%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 28.83%
    Paris Saint-Germain 47.49%
    Draw 23.68%
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.06%
1-0 @ 6.38%
2-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 1.77%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.83%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 9.4%
0-1 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 7.3%
1-3 @ 5.38%
0-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 3.47%
1-4 @ 2.31%
0-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.49%

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