Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
